Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.084553 0.094141 0.103877 0.114474 0.125656 0.137080 0.149606
2025-08-03 0.068892 0.083313 0.098599 0.115881 0.134755 0.154633 0.177044
2025-08-10 0.058650 0.076099 0.095260 0.117572 0.142570 0.169477 0.200394
2025-08-17 0.050285 0.069669 0.091648 0.117905 0.147955 0.180866 0.219252
2025-08-24 0.041594 0.061808 0.085506 0.114544 0.148460 0.186215 0.230850
2025-08-31 0.034765 0.055435 0.080471 0.111886 0.149260 0.191464 0.241945
2025-09-07 0.030696 0.052074 0.078700 0.112768 0.153899 0.200867 0.257551
2025-09-14 0.027682 0.049763 0.077975 0.114699 0.159601 0.211362 0.274298
2025-09-21 0.026042 0.049119 0.079219 0.118937 0.167977 0.224915 0.294536
2025-09-28 0.023430 0.046868 0.078205 0.120213 0.172662 0.234053 0.309589
2025-10-05 0.023839 0.048947 0.082877 0.128671 0.186114 0.253577 0.336798
2025-10-12 0.020852 0.045767 0.080363 0.127832 0.188057 0.259357 0.347851
2025-10-19 0.019629 0.045298 0.081659 0.132143 0.196703 0.273562 0.369358
2025-10-26 0.017275 0.042871 0.080164 0.132789 0.200811 0.282396 0.384648
2025-11-02 0.015474 0.041142 0.079519 0.134464 0.206155 0.292693 0.401669
2025-11-09 0.013497 0.038879 0.077958 0.134798 0.209712 0.300756 0.415981
2025-11-16 0.010770 0.034901 0.073623 0.131168 0.208027 0.302269 0.422311
2025-11-23 0.008586 0.031549 0.069981 0.128296 0.207173 0.304689 0.429641
2025-11-30 0.007456 0.030095 0.069144 0.129249 0.211240 0.313162 0.444270
2025-12-07 0.006657 0.029214 0.069141 0.131333 0.216765 0.323438 0.461088
2025-12-14 0.006371 0.029432 0.070884 0.135906 0.225584 0.337845 0.482967
2025-12-21 0.005573 0.028339 0.070432 0.137282 0.230133 0.346886 0.498287
2025-12-28 0.006078 0.030443 0.075294 0.146389 0.245030 0.368980 0.529637